I think I read somewhere that restaurants would be sooner than we thought. They’d just need to space out tables further.
Pubs for sure, but I read end of summer not end of the year 
We’ll be in some kind of lockdown for a while, if you read the scientific advice, its baked in, even the five tests, can’t really be met either till there is a vaccine, or more likely good treatments.
Even when the lockdown comes off, people will still need to wear masks, and are people going to pubs and restaurants with those on? This is going to take time, and the end isn’t easily found
Not that simple. On the one hand - yes, not going out, so spending decreased in some areas.
On the other hand, many now working for reduced pay, or have lost their jobs. Costs of some things go up as a result of being home all the time - more money on supermarket shop, electricity bills and gas bills likely to be higher due to constant use instead of having fallow periods during weekdays.
Being at home opens up doors for increased online spending when you realise that you need (or ‘need’) this, that or the other in order to make spending time at home work. Kitting out the home office for working from home, for example (even if you can claim some or all of the money back later, there’s still the initial outlay), upgrading broadband provision, finally cracking and signing up for Netflix to keep the kids occupied, ordering items for the kitchen because having rubbish pans was OK when you ate out most days but not when you need to cook for yourself, etc.
Or there may be people like me, who won’t have extra money to spend when lockdown is over because the extra money has been used to boost savings or investments instead (granted, a smaller use case, and also not one I’ll be able to carry on indefinitely depending on the long-term affect on my own job).
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Yes, but that doesn’t account for all the moving around once you’re in the restaurant. I’d rather bite the bullet and leave social gathering venues till last.
Just to be (sort of) safe…
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Hahaha are you spying on me?
This is actually what I’ve been doing since the lockdown 
Just spent a small fortune on a secretlab chair and all sorts 
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I stand by what I said. I said ‘many people will be better off’. It is a reasonable statement to make. I did not say EVERYONE will be better off, nor NOBODY will be better off.
It remains that some people will be better off and be able to afford to go to restaurants. I don’t why anyone would challenge such a sensible statement. Let me flip it for you. Are you saying EVERYONE will be either the same or worse off? Of course not, as it is an absurd statement.
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I think some people will be better off even when on furlough
Fuel/travel costs is big and if you’re not sending a kid/s to nursery then you’re going to be a lot better off!
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You’re supposed to be more positive on your birthday 
If you walk to work, spend 90% of your salary on living costs then yes, you’re going to be worse off because you’re not ‘saving’ anything and you needed 100% to live.
But people who are fortunate enough to be able to save each month, or now aren’t spending £600 on child care or £150 on travel., they’re going to have money ready to go.
I presume gym are the last ones to open as well
I’d agree, but nobody claimed otherwise 
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I have to pay 50% retainer to keep my place open. Meanwhile the kids are at home eating anything that doesn’t run away while having every possible electrical appliance on
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Get faster food.
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I was surprised that our nursery didn’t do something similar, but I was grateful they didn’t as not forking out for that pretty much offsets the pay cut I am having to swallow. Also saving on travel, posh coffee, after school clubs.
Doing alright out of event refunds at the moment too - had lots of gigs, shows and sport planned this year, many of which are in the process of reimbursing. But it’s all being tucked away for now as the future’s so unclear.
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Er, almost every media outlet is saying December, if not January 2021 for pubs.They will be the last to reopen (and may close again if the virus makes a reappearance)
“er” nobody knows when they will if you want to be pedantic 
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Many of them were also discussing schools re-opening in May so I’d tend to ignore the media on this stuff to be honest.
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The problem with this is we would have to close the borders until another solution is found, so I strongly suspect the government would choose the second of your two options.
I think New Zealand is almost entirely incomparable with the UK unfortunately. Two really key metrics for controlling something like this: population density and the movement of people (both across the border and internally) bear no resemblance to the UK.
There is one thing we could definitely take from NZ though - I would swap PM’s TOMORROW without a question!
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I can’t see any way they’d be able to enforce that due to the land border with the Republic of Ireland