I was having an interesting-yet-depressing conversation with a colleague about AI today. I use ChatGPT on occasion to help with debugging my code and drafting emails and such, while he has access to some of the more advanced models out there and uses them for all sorts of things. He was telling me about all the specialised models out there, specific to fields like legal, medical diagnostics, finance, etc. It really is incredible how good the models are getting, but also terrifying…
He told me his son is really into coding, but they had a conversation the other day where he basically told his kid there is no future in coding - within 5 years the vast majority of coding jobs essentially won’t exist due to AI. That got me thinking about my daughter, who’s best subject is Chinese. She loves languages, and is planning on doing Chinese all the way through A-levels and uni. But what then? If everyone has real-time text- and voice-translation capabilities in their pocket 10 years from now (which will absolutely be a thing), what jobs will actually exist for someone who speaks Mandarin fluently? Who will go to law school when people can use LegalAI to do all their court filings? Who will study accountancy when MoneyAI can do manage your finances better than any person can?
When my son was 5 he talked about how he wanted to move to Wales with his friend Henry and be a farmer (this was during his second year at the local private school…). I now think that might be the most realistic job for him to actually aim for! I’m wondering if I should find a local stonemason I can apprentice myself to on weekends so that when I lose my job to AI I can at least build walls for a living!
Some of this is hyperbole, but is it really? Many on this forum will remember the early days of the internet, when things moved a bit slowly, before it all exploded into what it is today. That’s where we are with AI right now, jobs are already being impacted by AI, albeit a pretty small amount. But that is going to change, it will change soon, and it will change fast.
I guess I’m just wondering what people’s thoughts are on the subject. People have been shouting about the AI future for a long time, and it is pretty much here. What is going to actually happen to jobs? Should today’s children aim for careers with low AI-impact? What even are those, besides manual labour? What can we do to make sure our society continues to function during what could likely be the most disruptive transition in human history?