Pensions chat šŸ§“

Civil Service pension is a much more exact science. Used to work on the IT side of CS pensions and the calculation was very simple: (years service x final salary)/80 = your annual pension. Three times that was your lump sum.

That’s for Classic (mainly service up to April 2022). After that it’s Alpha which is a little more complicated to work out so maybe three lines rather than the one above for Classic.

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I’ve been in since March 2020 but I think I’m Alpha. My lump sum isn’t my salary x3 I can assure you!

Here’s my problem. We don’t all get a ā€˜long run’. It’s an absolute gamble. Giving away money you could use right now just in case you might need to use it later.

Don’t sweat it, money geeks. Do what suits you and just don’t worry about it.

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You’ll be in Alpha as you started after 2015.

In Alpha the lumpsum is optional. There’s a calculator on the CSP site which let’s you see what reducing the lumpsum will do to your monthly pension and vice versa.

Very broadly speaking Classic and Alpha are comparable. Big difference is that in Alpha the retirement age is the same as that for the state pension. Also, it’s a career average scheme so if you get a lot of promotions your pension will be lower than you will likely expect it to be.

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Mines Alpha and defined benefit, not sure I can take lump sum though, not really read into it.

I’ll probably die before pension age if we have one, and I find it complicated to understand I just know it’s a good one being civil.

In Alpha you choose whether or not to take a lumpsum and how much it is (within some limits e.g. you can’t lift the whole lot as a lumpsum).

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Ah thanks.

That’s what I used on the screenshots. I know I can retire before retirement age in my organisation, though there are penalties for each year under it is.

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No you don’t, honestly just don’t worry about it. 34% is huge, it’s more than enough no matter how pessimistic the assumptions you make about growth.

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This reminds me a bit of the Simpsons episode where Flander’s house is destroyed by a hurricane and he doesn’t have insurance because he considers it a form of gambling.

Most people will need a pension fund of some sort. It’s sensible to think about it when you are younger because by the time you need it, it’s too late to save for it. The tax advantages are also huge and it can be used from age 55. The combination of tax advantage and compound interest mean saving a little extra early can result in being a lot wealthier later in life.

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There’s what they call an actuarial reduction for each year in advance of your Normal Retirement Age (NRA) that you take the pension. For Alpha the NRA is the same as your state pension age which you can find out at https://www.gov.uk/state-pension-age. The reduction is roughly 5% per year and applies to the monthly payments and the lumpsum.

So, if your NRA was 68, your retired at 66 and you’d normally have received Ā£1000/month then you would actually get more like Ā£900/month. It isn’t exactly that for various reasons including, of course, that you’d have two more years service by 68.

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It’s changing to 57 soon and the plans are that it will in future move up to be 10 years less than the state pension age.

Apologies, perhaps I’m misunderstanding your point. You are saying that the difference is that with a personal pension you get to keep your pension pot, and have flexibility over how much you draw down at any time.

I agree that these are both true, but I don’t really see how they imply a safe withdrawal rate > annuity rate.

The point of SWR is that it’s the rate at which you can withdraw money from your pension safely, i.e. without risk of running out before you die. And this is important because the consequence of running out is extremely bad - you would be out of money at a time when your earning ability is likely to be lowest.

The ā€œadvantageā€ of retaining your investment pot is surely that you can choose to invest in different things, but as far as I can see this can only mean taking on more risk than an annuity provider can. Which is the thing you don’t want when considering SWR.

The freedom to vary your drawdown allows you to draw more if you need to - but this reduces your pot faster, while if you need less you could still invest the excess annuity payment. (I accept there are some tax implications).

I’m not trying to argue that you should go out and buy an annuity - there are certainly reasons to prefer a pension pot. But I am arguing that when considering an appropriate SWR I don’t think it’s obvious how you can justify anything greater than the annuity rate (actually, since the annuity provider can risk-pool, the annuity rate might be better!)

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Found this on the ONS (data from 2020).

Private pensions:

25th percentile

All persons 16-24 900
25-34 2,000
35-44 5,000
45-54 9,700
55-64 13,500
65+ 18,000
All persons 3,900

50th percentile

All persons 16-24 2,400
25-34 7,900
35-44 24,700
45-54 47,700
55-64 68,800
65+ 70,000
All persons 20,600

75th percentile

All persons 16-24 8,200
25-34 24,900
35-44 85,800
45-54 184,700
55-64 245,000
65+ 171,000
All persons 91,000

Employees with active occupational (defined benefit and defined contribution) pension schemes

25th percentile

Public sector 16-24 1,300
25-34 7,000
35-44 22,400
45-54 32,600
55-64 58,100
65+ 25,300
All public sector 15,100
Private sector 16-24 500
25-34 1,200
35-44 3,000
45-54 4,000
55-64 4,000
65+ 6,000
All private sector 2,000

50th percentile

Public sector 16-24 4,000
25-34 20,000
35-44 72,900
45-54 137,200
55-64 216,200
65+ 104,300
All public sector 65,400
Private sector 16-24 1,900
25-34 5,000
35-44 13,400
45-54 25,000
55-64 32,900
65+ 30,000
All private sector 10,300

75th percentile

Public sector 16-24 10,300
25-34 49,100
35-44 159,300
45-54 365,200
55-64 517,300
65+ 231,500
All public sector 215,800
Private sector 16-24 6,100
25-34 17,400
35-44 48,000
45-54 100,000
55-64 130,100
65+ 150,000
All private sector 46,600
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Don’t forget the other side of the coin. Financial advisors rightly concentrate on trying to ensure your pension doesn’t run out before you die. However, you equally don’t want to underspend and die leaving a whole lot of money in your pension either (unless you’re intending to leave it to your children).

Also, if you end up in a nursing home then you won’t need the money anyway. In fact, you’d be better spending it all before you reach that point as then your local authority will pay for your nursing home.

It probably is a gamble but I think the major benefits come in if you’re a higher or additional rate taxpayer, you get to defer taxation until later in exchange for some tax relief now - that makes it well worth It. On higher incomes the taxes can eye watering especially when the personal allowance tapers out and your rate is effectively 60%. Definitely a fortunate position to be in, but pension contributions are really the only lever you can pull to reduce that unless you want to donate lots to charity.

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Worth noting that if you buy an annuity, the insurance takes your money and keeps it i.e. you lose 100% of your capital. Also worth remembering Equitable Life where they were forced to cut annuity payments by around 50% (going by what happened to my Dad’s pension).

You don’t need to take on more risk as it’s possible to construct a portfolio reflecting what an annuity would give you. In fact, if you put the whole lot into the 2060 Treasury Gilt you’d get a guaranteed income of 4% up to 2060.

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I don’t think this is a particularly relevant consideration - yes, you might stop needing money sooner. But what if you’re wrong? This is actually one of the key issues, I think, that makes your individual planning harder (i.e. more costly). As an individual, your retirement planning has to be sufficient to account for the ā€œworstā€ (actually best) scenario - you live for a long time and remain relatively active and healthy until the end. Average stats aren’t especially helpful to you. Whereas annuity providers etc can risk pool - they can rely on average payouts corresponding closely to average life expectancy.

On your second post: yes, you exchange your capital for the guaranteed income. But that’s essentially what the SWR is doing as well - it’s the answer to the question ā€œwhat level of income can I maintain for the unknown length of time I will require?ā€

And yes, I agree that you can replicate something similar on your own (again, I am not arguing for annuities, I’m arguing it’s hard to have swr > annuity rate). But your example of a 4% guaranteed for 30 years is worse than best buy annuities! https://www.hl.co.uk/retirement/annuities/best-buy-rates suggests for a 55 year old, without inflation protection, you’d get 5.8% in perpetuity, and your tail risk is protected. So

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I take your point that an annuity is supposed to guarantee your income for life. However, that presupposes that the annuity company lives longer than you do. Equitable Life died well before my Dad did and halved his ā€˜guaranteed’ pension. I’d like to think that’s a one-off occurrence, but because it might not be, I would never consider handing my cash over to an insurance company and hope that they would actually continue to payout. Don’t forget too that Equitable Life was a major league insurance company until it went bust.

With the 4% Treasuries, you get all your money back in 30 years. With the 5.8% annuity, you lose it all.

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I take your point that averages are no use. As a rough guide for guys, I’d say consider how long your Dad lived and how long his Dad lived and add maybe 10 years assuming that you’ll know what they died of and be doing something about it. I figure that if you’re going to die you should at least learn from what killed your parents and grandparents and at least die of something different :thinking: